◉ Earth & climate

Forecasting low reservoir storage

Predict whether a specified reservoir will fall below 20% capacity within 30 days.

Open questionOpen question. No settled answer, and the inputs may not exist yet.

Success means

After freezing a licensed daily series and time split, beat the seasonal baseline’s Brier score by at least 10% and report calibration without using future rainfall observations.

Proposed milestone · no accepted result claimed
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